Risk-adjusted Approaches for Planning Sustainable Agriculture

Fischer, Günther; Ermolieva, T.; Ermoliev, Y.; Sun, Laixiang

Abstract

In this paper we show that explicit treatment of risks and uncertainties in agricultural production planning may considerably alter strategies for achieving robust outcomes with regard to sustainable agricultural developments. We discuss production planning models under uncertainties and risks that may assist in planning locationspecific production expansion within environmental and health risk indicators and constraints. The proposed approaches are illustrated with the example of spatially explicit livestock production allocation in China to 2030.

Citation

Fischer, G., Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., & Sun, L. (2009). Risk-adjusted Approaches for Planning Sustainable Agriculture. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 23(4), 441-450. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-008-0231-9

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Publication Date: May 1, 2009
• Deposit Date: Jun 22, 2009
• Journal: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
• Print ISSN: 1436-3240
• Electronic ISSN: 1436-3259
• Publisher: Springer
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 23
• Issue: 4
• Pages: 441-450
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-008-0231-9
• Keywords: Agricultural production, Risks, Safety constraints, CVaR risk measure, Downscaling, Robust decisions
• Publisher URL: http://www.springerlink.com/content/103283/