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The Role of Institutions: A Cross-country Analysis of Renminbi Trading in Foreign Exchange Markets

Zucker-Marques, Marina; Perfeito da Silva, Pedro

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Authors

Marina Zucker-Marques

Pedro Perfeito da Silva



Abstract

We explore how China's geographically targeted policies impact RMB overseas use individually or in combination. The policies include swap agreements, clearing banks, investment quotas, and direct trading between Chinese renminbi (RMB) and non-USD currencies. Adopting a fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis and using Bank of International Settlements cross-country data on foreign exchange markets, we find that institution building has lowered the barriers to international adoption of the RMB. Specifically, for countries economically close to China, high RMB trading is explained by either (i) having a clearing bank in the host market and direct quotations between the RMB and the local currency, or (ii) being a financial center and having access to the Chinese capital market. This combination of policies is explained by the creation of (i) “trading posts” that provide RMB liquidity abroad, and (ii) channels that allow actors to “recycle” offshore RMB funds. We triangulate our results with interviews conducted with senior People's Bank of China officials

Citation

Zucker-Marques, M., & Perfeito da Silva, P. (2022). The Role of Institutions: A Cross-country Analysis of Renminbi Trading in Foreign Exchange Markets. China & World Economy, 30(3), 42-74. https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.12418

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date May 25, 2022
Publication Date May 22, 2022
Deposit Date Nov 16, 2023
Publicly Available Date Nov 16, 2023
Journal China and World Economy
Print ISSN 1671-2234
Electronic ISSN 1749-124X
Publisher Wiley
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 30
Issue 3
Pages 42-74
DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.12418
Keywords foreign exchange markets, fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis, institutional context, international monetary system, off shore RMB trading, RMB internationalization
Publisher URL https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cwe.12418

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