Afghanistan's India-Pakistan Dilemma - Advocacy Coalitions in Weak States

Paliwal, Avinash

Abstract

This article seeks to examine the foreign policy behaviour of weak states in regions marked by politically turbulent geostrategic environments. An analysis of Afghanistan's foreign policy behaviour vis-à-vis Pakistan and India lends focus to this aim. India–Pakistan rivalry has gained traction as a key factor in determining Afghanistan's stability in the wake of the drawdown of Coalition forces. Missing from this debate, however, is consideration of Afghanistan's agency as a weak state with an independent set of policy preferences. Based on primary interviews with a diverse set of Afghan political actors the article outlines two competing policy advocacies: Pakistan friendly and Pakistan averse. The article argues that these advocacies are key to understanding Afghanistan's India–Pakistan dilemma. Departing from the ethnic lens used to explain Afghan politics and its regional linkages, this article shows that Kabul's relations with Islamabad determine its approach towards New Delhi regardless of ethnic rivalries. Understanding domestic Afghan narratives in this regional context is therefore imperative to adequately assess South Asia's prospective security calculus.

Citation

Paliwal, A. (2015). Afghanistan's India-Pakistan Dilemma - Advocacy Coalitions in Weak States. Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 29(2), 465-491. https://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2015.1058617

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Apr 1, 2015
• Online Publication Date: Jul 3, 2015
• Publication Date: Jul 3, 2015
• Deposit Date: May 21, 2017
• Journal: Cambridge Review of International Affairs
• Print ISSN: 0955-7571
• Electronic ISSN: 1474-449X
• Publisher: Taylor and Francis Group
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 29
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 465-491
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2015.1058617